fundamental News - AUD/USD
Asia-Pacific traders are likely to see a risk-averse open in today’s
session after the sentiment-linked Australian Dollar fell versus the US
Dollar. China’s Caixin purchasing managers’ index is set to cross the
wires today for the services sector, with analysts
expecting a print of 51.7 for December. That would be down slightly
from 52.1 in November. The Caixin manufacturing PMI released earlier
this week rose to 50.9 from 49.9 for December. A better-than-expected
print may revive some Aussie Dollar strength.
AUD/USD trimmed gains overnight and went into the red, with the falling
50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) pressuring prices. The 26-day
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) may provide support along with the
38.2% Fibonacci retracement. However, the MACD oscillator
appears to be shifting into a bearish stance, with the MACD on track to
cross below its signal and center lines. A break lower may see a move
down near the psychologically imposing 0.7100 level.
A wave of risk aversion roiled through US markets overnight after
the Federal Reserve’s minutes from the December FOMC meeting crossed the
wires. That revealed a more hawkish policy outlook, with the prospects
of three rate hikes next year strengthening.
In the fight against inflation, some voting members also expressed the
possibility of reducing the central bank’s balance sheet shortly after
rates lift-off. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index shed over 3% on the
news, while the cyclically-sensitive Dow Jones
Industrial Average lost just over 1%.
expectation today: neutral